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Skins.Fan
02-04-2006, 02:22 PM
Redskins Off-Season Plan – Phase One
By: Trevor Walters
february 4, 2006

After their most successful regular season performance this millennium, the spirits are almost as high as the hopes for next season among the Redskins faithful. That success places even more emphasis on personnel decisions than ever before, given that the roster in its current composition has proven it can thrive. For once the focus will be on shoring up areas of need, rather than plotting for a complete overhaul of one or more facets of the team. In Phase One of my plan, we’re going to focus on the in-house decisions that the Redskins are currently facing, and in which direction they should go.

Luckily for the cash-strapped Redskins, there are no bank-breaking potential free agents whose futures need contemplation. With only three starters set to become free agents, the starting lineup should remain relatively intact. Of those three, Ryan Clark and Robert Royal are unrestricted free agents, while the third, left guard Derrick Dockery, is set to be a restricted free agent once the NFL’s calendar resets in March. None of the three figures to command a princely sum, and Dockery most likely will be offered the predetermined tender offer given his status.

With any off-season plan, the salary cap groundwork must first be laid before any other moves can be reasonably debated. For the purposes of this series, we’re going to assume that the NFL’s Collective Bargaining Agreement will be renewed, although the likelihood of that accord varies from source to source. Also, as in my plans from previous years, consideration will be given to potential salary logistics. However since it is such an inexact science to predict the cap effect any potential contract restructuring among current players may have, salary issues will be reasonably approximated.

To create some much needed cap relief, Phase One begins by trimming some of the fat off of the current roster. Stone hands and a $2 million salary make reserve safety Matt Bowen a good candidate for release. Cutting defensive tackle Brandon Noble, whose career is most likely complete given his devastating recent injuries and illnesses, would save an additional $1.7 million. With those two in mind, the release of the suddenly inept Walt Harris, pulled-quad-waiting-to-happen John Hall, and swinging gate Cory Raymer, pushes the total savings to over $7.5 million.

Forgotten man Patrick Ramsey has also spent his last Sunday in a Washington uniform, though his method of departure will differ from those listed above. Ramsey, whose value is somewhat nebulous in league circles, should bring at least an early second-day selection in a trade. All jokes about how that pick might then be transformed into another depth linebacker or perhaps an additional fullback aside, dealing Ramsey will boost the new total savings to approximately $9.3 million.

Despite his recent public squabbles with management, LaVar Arrington has indicated that he wouldn’t be averse to reworking the terms of his Redskin contract to free up space to help the team, provided, of course, he is still a Redskin in 2006. Whether or not he’s around is a topic for a future column, but for the purposes of my plan, he’s returning. This could potentially somewhere in the vicinity of $5 million against the cap, bringing the total to $14.3 million. Contract renegotiations with Mark Brunell and Jon Jansen would add a couple million more to that tally, and prorating bonuses due to Marcus Washington, Clinton Portis, and Cornelius Griffin among others would boost the total even further. All of this leaves Washington with some, albeit limited, space to work with, and certainly enough to resign their most critical free agents.

Of their potential free agents, safety Ryan Clark is easily the most valuable to the team in my view. Clark, a hard-hitting safety who has played himself into favor with the defensive staff, is the leader of the secondary and has proven himself to be a dependable open-field tackler as well. His less than ideal coverage skills are somewhat overstated, though that accusation is certainly not without its merits. Clark figures to garner moderate interest around the league, though the prospects of his landing an astronomical offer are thinner than Jerry Jones’ surgically altered neck. Clark is the type of core guy that Joe Gibbs is building this team around, and he should be brought back to continue in that capacity.

Offensively, tight end Robert Royal has benefited from being the best in a long line of horrible tight ends that have been trotted in to challenge him during his time in Washington. Royal is an adequate blocker, but is at best only mildly effective as a receiver. With Chris Cooley having developed into a legitimate weapon, it isn’t imperative that the tight end be a dominant offensive force. It would be nice, however, if the man that determines strength on the offensive line wouldn’t drop every other ball thrown in his direction. Washington could easily upgrade the tight end position via the draft or free agency, and should chose to do so by letting Royal slip away as if he were a pass going through his own hands.

Coming into 2005, the feeling was that Derrick Dockery had this season to prove his worth or be replaced at season’s end. The University of Texas product started the season in much the same manner as he had ended the previous two, but soon developed into a solid performer by mid-season. Keeping Dockery maintains a prized continuity on the offensive line, and even at his lowest point, Dockery has at least been durable. Given this, as well as his improvement and potential, Dockery should certainly be tendered in restricted free agency at a level that would ensure his return in 2006.

Among the key reserves, only Demetric Evans figures to draw any appreciable attention league-wide. While Evans may want a bigger contract than Washington is willing to offer, he is likely to receive his most lucrative proposal from the Redskins. Evans provided key depth in 2005, but depth players do not usually command high dollar in the open market given the ambiguity of their niche. He certainly isn’t as valuable as Joe Salave’a, for example, and Big Joe’s contract isn’t exorbitant, so Evans should be retained, but only at a modest price tag.

On the special teams front, long-snapper Ethan Albright – the big redhead who looks like he won a “Redskin-for-a-Day” contest on a talk radio show – had a solid season as evidenced by his name going without mention. He should return, as should ace Khary Campbell, who won a training camp battle for a roster spot, then rewarded the coaching staff with yet another solid effort on teams. It’s almost as easy to find linebackers in the NFL as it is to find crime in downtown Richmond, VA, but Campbell has a proven proclivity for special teams that is paramount on this staff.

But any discussion of Redskin special teamers generally gravitates quickly to Rock Cartwright. Rock is a great player to have because he’s like spackle, filling holes when and wherever they may arise. However, when the 2005 NFL Draft netted Washington Nehemiah Broughton from The Citadel, Rock’s road to the roster got considerably bumpier. He made the squad this season based largely on his potential contributions on special teams, and he was surely aided by his smallish cap number as well. Not that Rock would command a big payday now that he’s unrestricted, but from the standpoint that nearly any wage for a fourth string is too high, it pains me to say that Rock should be let go.

The rest of the Redskin free agents-to-be Warrick Holdman, Omar Stoutmire, Ade Jimoh, and the like are all replaceable. I’d stop short of painting all of them with the same brush since some – Stoutmire, for instance – did fill in nicely in spots, but they are nothing more than depth players whose replacements are readily and easily found.

There probably aren’t any big surprises from Phase One, but it does lay the groundwork for the more interesting segments of the off-season. Some players, specifically Rock, were hard to part with, but the logic to do it was just too sound. Phase Two will focus on free agency, so check back next week for your weekly Redskins football fix. Hail to the Redskins!


Questions and comments can be sent to Trevor Walters at skins.fan@comcast.net

bgforever
02-04-2006, 02:35 PM
Decent review. Look for the shakeup to be between Ladell Betts and Rock Cartwright, but NOT before TC. TC is where the battles intensify and the Pre-Season games are for tuning up those skills and one last look at either one.
The Redskins are taking things to another level and dead weight based on sentiment is not going to cut it!

It won't win games, but making big plays when it counts on 3rd down, not getting 2 yds when we need 3 or getting 4 yds when we need 5. When that stat keeps showing up, it means the first man who puts a hand on you, you go down. For a RB, thats the same as saying you punking out. Bash their heads in! Wheres the drive to stomp on the guy on the way to the end zone, instead of being soft and polite??! Man screw that!

That's why I love Portis, Byner, Larry Brown, Allen, Riggins, Riggs, Rodgers, Davis!

Tell them, get out of my way, I got an end zone to catch!

DoGood
02-04-2006, 03:16 PM
I am smarter than when I entered this thread! Thanks Trevor.

I agree that we should definitely make a point to keep Khary Campbell. They are always calling his name on special teams, and having him as depth at the linebacker position will be very valuable given his experience in the system. He is still young and need more playing time before I would be comfortable having him spell our starter in a regular season game.

I really hope that we keep Rock. We need to cut the fat at the RB position but I would hate to have Rock go. Ladell has outgrown his backup role here and should depart via trade. Nehemiah is still awful young and very inexperienced to be Portis' primary backup. He hasn't earned my trust yet although I like what I see. However, Rock has earned my trust and needs more playing time to show us some more of what he did against St. Louis. He is an explosive runner and a load to bring down. Plus, he contributes on teams and Gibbs loves him. Keeping Rock should be a priority.

BurgundyNGold
02-04-2006, 03:28 PM
Another great article. I like reading the speculation. :)

FanFromArizona
02-04-2006, 03:42 PM
I am smarter than when I entered this thread! Thanks Trevor.

I really hope that we keep Rock. We need to cut the fat at the RB position but I would hate to have Rock go. Ladell has outgrown his backup role here and should depart via trade. Nehemiah is still awful young and very inexperienced to be Portis' primary backup. He hasn't earned my trust yet although I like what I see. However, Rock has earned my trust and needs more playing time to show us some more of what he did against St. Louis. He is an explosive runner and a load to bring down. Plus, he contributes on teams and Gibbs loves him. Keeping Rock should be a priority.

I actually see Ladell being traded, mostly because we have surplus at the RB position and could get some value NOW for Ladell, I think if we move into Training Camp with Ladell we will not get any value afterwards. Ladell is going to test the FA waters and will probably move to another team. I would much rather get value for Ladell and try ourselves with Portis, Cartwright, Nemo, Manuel White, and Sellers in the backfield [in some combination].

I am definitely expecting some changes in the backfield where we will see more I-formations [FB/RB formations]. I think this will give Portis the protection and durability he needs to get through the regular season and all the way to the Super Bowl next year!

Rock has a spot in Gibbs heart and I don't think we will see Rock gone, he serves multiple roles for the team [character Redskin, Special Team blocking, and fill-in RB, and is more physically reliable week in and week out]

EberKain
02-04-2006, 03:57 PM
I also think Betts will be traded before we outright cut Rock. Betts has some market value, and we could get something out of the whole deal. And I think Rock is more like Portis than Betts is, which should make it easier for the offence to function without skipping a beat no matter which one is in.

FanFromArizona
02-04-2006, 04:07 PM
I also think Betts will be traded before we outright cut Rock. Betts has some market value, and we could get something out of the whole deal. And I think Rock is more like Portis than Betts is, which should make it easier for the offence to function without skipping a beat no matter which one is in.

I see only 1 thing as the variable in keeping Rock/trading Betts scenario: $$$.
If Rock resigns, [his asking price is not out of wack], then I think the percentages of a Betts trade skyrocket exponentially. We will need a position for our #2 WR, and I think it will come in a trade like this. I don't see us going with 5 backs [Portis, Betts, Cartwright, Nemo, Manuel White] when we need depth at other positions.

redskin_rich
02-04-2006, 04:55 PM
I see only 1 thing as the variable in keeping Rock/trading Betts scenario: $$$.
If Rock resigns, [his asking price is not out of wack], then I think the percentages of a Betts trade skyrocket exponentially. We will need a position for our #2 WR, and I think it will come in a trade like this. I don't see us going with 5 backs [Portis, Betts, Cartwright, Nemo, Manuel White] when we need depth at other positions.
Manuel White was playing at H-Back before his injury but now with Saunders taking over the offense, he may be moved to Fullback. I don't know what to expect, Sanders used a conventional pro set [2 back] offensive formation most of the time, so I wonder if Cooley gets moved to TE and Sellers and White play Fullback.

HanburgerBum
02-04-2006, 05:01 PM
I actually see Ladell being traded, mostly because we have surplus at the RB position and could get some value NOW for Ladell, I think if we move into Training Camp with Ladell we will not get any value afterwards. Ladell is going to test the FA waters and will probably move to another team. I would much rather get value for Ladell and try ourselves with Portis, Cartwright, Nemo, Manuel White, and Sellers in the backfield [in some combination].

I am definitely expecting some changes in the backfield where we will see more I-formations [FB/RB formations]. I think this will give Portis the protection and durability he needs to get through the regular season and all the way to the Super Bowl next year!

Rock has a spot in Gibbs heart and I don't think we will see Rock gone, he serves multiple roles for the team [character Redskin, Special Team blocking, and fill-in RB, and is more physically reliable week in and week out]


Just what do you think Betts would get the Skins in a trade before camp? Would you accept a 6th rounder, a 5th, a 4th, a 3rd, what?

I am asking because I think Betts is of unique value to the Skins and would not bring much in a trade. Washington is going for the SB inn 2006 and needs a good backup for Clinton Portis. Betts is not only that, but he actually spelled Portis in 2005. I certainly would much rather have Ledell instead of Rock as the first backup.

On the other hand, Betts wouldn't be worth much to another team (unless it is also shooting for the SB this season) since he is due to be a FA after the 2006 season. So, if the offer for Ledell is only say a 5th rounder, do you really want to make that trade and risk not having a good backup for Portis in a run for the SB?

Gibbs had a chance to trade Ramsey last year for about the same that Betts would bring now (4th-5th rounder) but declined to do so because he wanted an experienced backup for Brunell. This in a seaon (2005) when the Skins' expectations weren't really that high. Why would Gibbs now trade Betts for so little in a season (2006) that the team is going for it all?

FanFromArizona
02-04-2006, 05:22 PM
Manuel White was playing at H-Back before his injury but now with Saunders taking over the offense, he may be moved to Fullback. I don't know what to expect, Sanders used a conventional pro set [2 back] offensive formation most of the time, so I wonder if Cooley gets moved to TE and Sellers and White play Fullback.

I think this is what we will see, if this is the case it would represent a paradigm shift in our formations, I think it would indicate that we would probably not need a #2 WR as much as everyone here is talking about.

FanFromArizona
02-04-2006, 05:30 PM
Just what do you think Betts would get the Skins in a trade before camp? Would you accept a 6th rounder, a 5th, a 4th, a 3rd, what?

I am asking because I think Betts is of unique value to the Skins and would not bring much in a trade. Washington is going for the SB inn 2006 and needs a good backup for Clinton Portis. Betts is not only that, but he actually spelled Portis in 2005. I certainly would much rather have Ledell instead of Rock as the first backup.

On the other hand, Betts wouldn't be worth much to another team (unless it is also shooting for the SB this season) since he is due to be a FA after the 2006 season. So, if the offer for Ledell is only say a 5th rounder, do you really want to make that trade and risk not having a good backup for Portis in a run for the SB?

Gibbs had a chance to trade Ramsey last year for about the same that Betts would bring now (4th-5th rounder) but declined to do so because he wanted an experienced backup for Brunell. This in a seaon (2005) when the Skins' expectations weren't really that high. Why would Gibbs now trade Betts for so little in a season (2006) that the team is going for it all?


I think there are teams out there that could use Betts' services, he would be a good fit on a pass-first team so that he could bring balance. Oakland last year could have been a good partner, and Minnesota and Arizona leap to mind right now, and I am sure there are other teams out there that would have an interest. Betts is a proven commodity, the depth on the draft this year is decent, but not great, and the best thing of all, Betts will be affordable and won't break the bank to sign to a long-term deal.

What would I expect pick wise? I don't know. Is it better than losing Betts altogether in a year? Yes. Do we have enough players at RB? I beleive we do.
We need to get playing time for our 2nd year rookies, and keeping Betts will not do that. What is the chance we will lose Betts next year? I give it a 1 in 3chance. Why risk it?

OCSkinzFan
02-04-2006, 05:56 PM
I see only 1 thing as the variable in keeping Rock/trading Betts scenario: $$$.
If Rock resigns, [his asking price is not out of wack], then I think the percentages of a Betts trade skyrocket exponentially. We will need a position for our #2 WR, and I think it will come in a trade like this. I don't see us going with 5 backs [Portis, Betts, Cartwright, Nemo, Manuel White] when we need depth at other positions.

You have to add Sellers and Cooly to your list of backs because they're H Backs (as is White). So really your saying we have seven guys playing two positions. White is supposed to be a punishing lead blocker (as is Sellers) if Betts stays (and I'm pretty sure he will) I think Nemo is going to get the short end of the stick. Cartwright is just too consistent, and as demonstrated last year, is a legitimate productive back-up if the need arises.

OCSkinzFan
02-04-2006, 06:08 PM
Manuel White was playing at H-Back before his injury but now with Saunders taking over the offense, he may be moved to Fullback. I don't know what to expect, Sanders used a conventional pro set [2 back] offensive formation most of the time, so I wonder if Cooley gets moved to TE and Sellers and White play Fullback.
There's no rule against an H being a lead blocker, you don't have to start calling them a fullback just because they line up in the I. I think White and Sellers will both get a chance to block for Portis.

I see Cooly lining up at TE and WR and in the slot on passes, and lining up in the slot and motioning to the line to wham block on occasion. That would be consistent with what Saunders did with Gonzalez.

FanFromArizona
02-04-2006, 07:30 PM
You have to add Sellers and Cooly to your list of backs because they're H Backs (as is White). So really your saying we have seven guys playing two positions. White is supposed to be a punishing lead blocker (as is Sellers) if Betts stays (and I'm pretty sure he will) I think Nemo is going to get the short end of the stick. Cartwright is just too consistent, and as demonstrated last year, is a legitimate productive back-up if the need arises.

I think we will see Cooley out more as a receiver than in run-blocking. I see him up on the line a lot more than in the backfield next year, so I don't consider him as being in the backfield.

As far as Betts vs. Nemo, I guess you know my opinion on that. I would be disappointed if Nemo is on the short end of the stick, we would only have 4 picks stick, with 2 coming from the first round.

redskin_rich
02-04-2006, 07:36 PM
There's no rule against an H being a lead blocker, you don't have to start calling them a fullback just because they line up in the I. I think White and Sellers will both get a chance to block for Portis.

I see Cooly lining up at TE and WR and in the slot on passes, and lining up in the slot and motioning to the line to wham block on occasion. That would be consistent with what Saunders did with Gonzalez.
Actually the Skins did line up their H-Back in the I some last year. I just meant that we will probably see a lot more of that and Cooley would likely move over to TE and the H-Back/Fullback will be Sellers and White. And you are right, Saunders used his TE[Gonzo] much like we use Cooley, motioning pre-snap and running drag and seam routes.

EberKain
02-05-2006, 10:05 AM
I don't think Saunders is going to completely rewrite the scheme and get rid of H-Backs. We were ranked #11 on O, we just need a shot in the arm, not an overhaul.

burgundy4life
02-05-2006, 11:23 PM
Well ultimatly its Saunders decision isnt it?

Being a Gibb's kind of guy really doent matter if it doesnt fit into what Saunders wants to do is how i see it.

I also see Cooley, however important he has become to us, not nearly as fast as Gonzo.... so i really dont know how Saunders will use him.

And further more i would rather have Betts then Rock as my back-up RB if Portis gets hurt for obvious reasons. Betts is no Brown but hey, he is perfectly capable!


B4L