Akh's 2007 Mock Draft

[akhhorus]

http://www.hailredskins.com/blog/index.php?p=274

[FanFromArizona]

Ahh, the good ol' offseason.

1. I better not show this to my son, a diehard Patriots fan.

2. You need a few more coughs for the Giants.

3. You need to swap 31 with 32 and then your draft would look correct.

[FanFromArizona]

Jacksonville winning the division over Indianapolis? WOW, a bold prediction.

Tampa Bay winning the South again?

St Louis winning the West?

Atlanta not making the playoffs again?

Miami making the playoffs?

San Diego with the #3 pick? Granted, they will be going to Phillip Rivers, but THIS kind of descent? They have enough firepower that they can overcome his mistakes.

Interesting guesses......details?

[D-Ruck #8]

There's no way, barring injury, that Woodley falls out of the top 20.

[akhhorus]

Originally Posted by D-Ruck #8

There's no way, barring injury, that Woodley falls out of the top 20.

Little early to be making definite pronouncements, no? If I told you at this time last year that Mario Williams would be the #1 pick in 2006, you wouldn't stop laughing. He was a 2nd round projected pick after the 05 draft. Woodley is a 3-4 OLB who might be too big for OLB.

[akhhorus]

Originally Posted by FanFromArizona

Jacksonville winning the division over Indianapolis? WOW, a bold prediction.

Tampa Bay winning the South again?

St Louis winning the West?

Atlanta not making the playoffs again?

Miami making the playoffs?

Interesting guesses......details?

Basically:
Division Winners:
NFC: Skins, Bucs, St Louis, Chicago
AFC: Pats, Jags, Steelers, Broncos
Wild Cards: Eagles, Seahawks, Dolphins, Browns

[FanFromArizona]

Originally Posted by akhhorus

Basically:
Division Winners:
NFC: Skins, Bucs, St Louis, Chicago
AFC: Pats, Jags, Steelers, Broncos
Wild Cards: Eagles, Seahawks, Dolphins, Browns

St Louis over Seattle, that is an interesting call. St Louis definitely bulked up on defense, but enough to throw off Seattle? Yes, St Louis improved defensively, and I think Seattle is going to feel the loss of Hutchinson, but they definitely reloaded and improved this offseason with the signing of Burleson and Julian Peterson. I think it's gonna be close, but Seattle will finish in first.

Jaguars over the Colts? Even yet, Colts not making the playoffs?
San Diego not making the playoffs with their offensive juggernaut, even with Phillip Rivers at QB?

Browns making the playoffs and Cincinatti not making it?

I would love to hear your reasons on these predictions....

[akhhorus]

Originally Posted by FanFromArizona

St Louis over Seattle, that is an interesting call. St Louis definitely bulked up on defense, but enough to throw off Seattle? Yes, St Louis improved defensively, and I think Seattle is going to feel the loss of Hutchinson, but they definitely reloaded and improved this offseason with the signing of Burleson and Julian Peterson. I think it's gonna be close, but Seattle will finish in first.

Jaguars over the Colts? Even yet, Colts not making the playoffs?
San Diego not making the playoffs with their offensive juggernaut, even with Phillip Rivers at QB?

Browns making the playoffs and Cincinatti not making it?

I would love to hear your reasons on these predictions....

In order:
1-Seattle lost a lot and didn't replace it. Hutchinson meant more to them then they realize. And Alexander was lazy before the last couple years, but now that he has his big deal, I'm betting he goes back to being lazy. His last two years have been playing for big deals and now he has his massive deal and he'll be close to or over 30.

2-The Colts lost a ton, and did little to replace them. Addai was a good pick, but without Edge James, they could be in trouble. The Jags, if they stay healthy, could be extremely dangerous.

3-Without a good passing game(and Rivers is basically a rookie), LT will face 9 man fronts with a substandard Oline. And their defense really benefited from the offense eating up Time of possession. They still don't have a secondary. Also, Marty is on the big hot seat and the players might start to tune him out.

4-The Browns have a great core and have good coaching and play a relatively easy schedule. The Bengals have questions about Palmer, the Dline and the OLBs, and chemistry issues. I think they will take a big step back.

[Hr fan]

Originally Posted by akhhorus

Basically:
Division Winners:
NFC: Skins, Bucs, St Louis, Chicago
AFC: Pats, Jags, Steelers, Broncos
Wild Cards: Eagles, Seahawks, Dolphins, Browns

Agree with Skins as division winners, since their non-division games feature most of the really tough teams as our home games. Don't like the Browns. Crennel is still getting his players in place, and to me has yet to prove that he can. Question the Eagles, since the division is so rough. Our second will be better than other division's second, but this is head-to-head, not necessarily W/L. Also don't like Pats at 32. The last two years have seen losses in both players and coaching staff, IMO more losses than gains, particularly this off-season. Their locker room/character is changing. And despite the loneliness of the position I don't put Bellichek on a pedestal. The SB wins were by Vinateri's toe, and that is now in Indy. I also feel that the defense is older, vulnerable to injury, and has lost leadership (like McGinnis). Without an outstanding defense the Pats may not be needing Vinateri at game's end, since they may not be behind by only a FG.

[joethefan]

Originally Posted by FanFromArizona

Ahh, the good ol' offseason.

3. You need to swap 31 with 32 and then your draft would look correct.

I agree...I sure hope you meant the pats..gave us a 2nd round pick to move up one spot

Then Smoak will be happy....LOL

[HanburgerBum]

I hardly know anything about most of the players you set forth in the 2007 first round mock. So, I will refrain from any comment about them. But, I am flabbergasted at some of the spots you had the teams picking.

1) SD at No. 3. Marty is a mediocre coach, but he is not terrible. There is no way on earth that the Chargers can be picking that high even with a rookie QB.

2) KC picking at No. 8. The Chiefs may slip a little because of age, but they still have a lot of weapons on offense. Larry Johnson may be the next super star RB, if he is not already.

3) GB picking 12th. The Packers are a serious threat to pick No. 1. There is no way they can avoid the top 10. After all that bull about coming back only if the team is competitive, Favre is returning to a team not even as good as the miserable one in 2005. And, worse, Favre is part of the problem, not part of the solution.

4) Cleveland making the playoffs and picking 21st. The Browns have proved absolutely nothing. They have drafted poorly ever since Crenel came aboard and even before that. Their offseason FA moves are not based upon any discernable strategy. Signing old farts like McGinnis, Jurevicious make no sense for a building (but not contending) team like Cleveland. QB situation is up in the air. On top of that, the Browns are stuck in a division with Pitt and Cincy. It's questionable that they are even better than Balt. There are too many decent teams in the AFC for Cleveland to even smell the playoffs.

5) St.Louis winning the division over Seattle. Seattle may not be a great team, but it is a heck of a lot better than the Rams, who haven't even finish bottoming out yet. True, St.Louis appears to have had a great draft this year, but it usually takes a while for the results to show up on the field.

6) NE winning the SB. I think the Patriots are actually going in reverse. Losing Vinatiera is no small matter for a team that has won all of its SBs by the margin of a FG.

[akhhorus]

Originally Posted by HanburgerBum

I hardly know anything about most of the players you set forth in the 2007 first round mock. So, I will refrain from any comment about them. But, I am flabbergasted at some of the spots you had the teams picking.

1) SD at No. 3. Marty is a mediocre coach, but he is not terrible. There is no way on earth that the Chargers can be picking that high even with a rookie QB.

I've defended this pick ad Nauseum. The Chargers, sans good QB play, are an below average team, especially if the players think Marty is about to be dead man walking.

Originally Posted by HanburgerBum

2) KC picking at No. 8. The Chiefs may slip a little because of age, but they still have a lot of weapons on offense. Larry Johnson may be the next super star RB, if he is not already.

They still don't have a defense and their offense is far from a sure thing without Sanders.

Originally Posted by HanburgerBum

3) GB picking 12th. The Packers are a serious threat to pick No. 1. There is no way they can avoid the top 10. After all that bull about coming back only if the team is competitive, Favre is returning to a team not even as good as the miserable one in 2005. And, worse, Favre is part of the problem, not part of the solution.

Their defense is much improved and with Green and Davenport, Favre won't have to throw the ball 40 times a game.

Originally Posted by HanburgerBum

4) Cleveland making the playoffs and picking 21st. The Browns have proved absolutely nothing. They have drafted poorly ever since Crenel came aboard and even before that. Their offseason FA moves are not based upon any discernable strategy. Signing old farts like McGinnis, Jurevicious make no sense for a building (but not contending) team like Cleveland. QB situation is up in the air. On top of that, the Browns are stuck in a division with Pitt and Cincy. It's questionable that they are even better than Balt. There are too many decent teams in the AFC for Cleveland to even smell the playoffs.

I think Cleveland has taken some big steps forward. If Edwards and Winslow can do anything, they are a playoff team.

Originally Posted by HanburgerBum

5) St.Louis winning the division over Seattle. Seattle may not be a great team, but it is a heck of a lot better than the Rams, who haven't even finish bottoming out yet. True, St.Louis appears to have had a great draft this year, but it usually takes a while for the results to show up on the field.

They suffered a ton of injuries last year and have a ton of talent and added plenty of talent. They are one of my sleepers this year.

Originally Posted by HanburgerBum

6) NE winning the SB. I think the Patriots are actually going in reverse. Losing Vinatiera is no small matter for a team that has won all of its SBs by the margin of a FG.

Losing Vinitieri hurts, but they added a ton of talent, especially on offense. They are a threat no matter who their kicker is. And they still won the East despite the crippling injuries they had in 2005.

[lavarsamonster]

Originally Posted by akhhorus

Their defense is much improved and with Green and Davenport, Favre won't have to throw the ball 40 times a game..

Green and davenport are not the answer, their offensive line is terrible, plus they their best receiver (walker). Donald Driver is old, Robert Ferguson is a Num 3 at best, and Rod Gardner (no introductory needed).

Originally Posted by akhhorus

Losing Vinitieri hurts, but they added a ton of talent, especially on offense. They are a threat no matter who their kicker is. And they still won the East despite the crippling injuries they had in 2005.

I dont know how you see what they added as a ton of talent??? Sure they got Maroney and Chad Jackson, (will be a great draft in 2 or 3 years), but they still have corey dillon so maroney won't upgrade that position that much, and how often do rookie receivers contribute??? it will take at least a year for him to become anything more then a third option. The pats also lost their number one receiver from last year david givens, a return threat in tim dwight, a reliable blocking tight end in fauria, WR andre davis, and tyrone poole. they only brought in (besides rookies) reche caldwell and tebucky jones and martin gramatica (*who probably wont be on their final roster because they drafted that kid from memphis). This team did not improve this offseason and definately took a back seat to other teams in the afc (mainly pittsburgh, denver, indy, and i might even throw in cincy if palmer comes back and produces like last year)

[akhhorus]

Originally Posted by lavarsamonster

Green and davenport are not the answer, their offensive line is terrible, plus they their best receiver (walker). Donald Driver is old, Robert Ferguson is a Num 3 at best, and Rod Gardner (no introductory needed).

And they added some good talent in the draft, especially at WR. Green and Davenport will really help that team out, especially taking the pressure off of Favre. Driver is old, but still very effective. Jennings and Rodgers will contribute almost immediately.

Originally Posted by lavarsamonster

I dont know how you see what they added as a ton of talent??? Sure they got Maroney and Chad Jackson, (will be a great draft in 2 or 3 years), but they still have corey dillon so maroney won't upgrade that position that much, and how often do rookie receivers contribute??? it will take at least a year for him to become anything more then a third option. The pats also lost their number one receiver from last year david givens, a return threat in tim dwight, a reliable blocking tight end in fauria, WR andre davis, and tyrone poole. they only brought in (besides rookies) reche caldwell and tebucky jones and martin gramatica (*who probably wont be on their final roster because they drafted that kid from memphis). This team did not improve this offseason and definately took a back seat to other teams in the afc (mainly pittsburgh, denver, indy, and i might even throw in cincy if palmer comes back and produces like last year)

Their only real loss was McGinest and Vinatieri. Dwight, Fauria, Davis, Poole are easily replaceable. And they get back a ton of talent from injury. They basically get back their secondary except for Wilson, including the leader of the defense-Harrison-and Brady, Seymour and Dillon will be healthy. Jackson won't be asked to be the top WR, but he will contribute, and Branch and Brown are the top targets. They replaced Fauria with Mills and David Thomas. Poole is replaced by getting back Gay. Dwight is replaced by Bethel Johnson and Davis was nothing.

[shally]

Originally Posted by akhhorus

And they added some good talent in the draft, especially at WR. Green and Davenport will really help that team out, especially taking the pressure off of Favre. Driver is old, but still very effective. Jennings and Rodgers will contribute almost immediately.



Their only real loss was McGinest and Vinatieri. Dwight, Fauria, Davis, Poole are easily replaceable. And they get back a ton of talent from injury. They basically get back their secondary except for Wilson, including the leader of the defense-Harrison-and Brady, Seymour and Dillon will be healthy. Jackson won't be asked to be the top WR, but he will contribute, and Branch and Brown are the top targets. They replaced Fauria with Mills and David Thomas. Poole is replaced by getting back Gay. Dwight is replaced by Bethel Johnson and Davis was nothing.

not sure what they are getting back in harrison.. he never had the greatest speed to begin with and he suffered a bad knee injury. i would not want to count on him being the player he was for most of this year, at the least...