Originally Posted by skin4ever
never did a 12 team league before. Any advice as to the changes from a 10 team league? I know Rbs will be at a premium(thanks DJ Stouty, read earlier post) but how does the drafting go. are WR's taken later meaning i will have a shot at some top guys in rd 3 while guys like grant go in rd 2. Thanks guys. ANy advice is greatly appreciated.
A lot of it has to do with the scoring of your league. If QBs get 6pts/TD then several could slip into the first round. If they get 4pts/TD, they will fall much further.
But regardless...RBs are still at a premium; especially now-a-days with more teams featuring shared RB duties rather than 1 premier 25-touches-per-game RB. I've found most owners will want
to walk away from the first round with a RB/RB situation. There will always be owners who simply can't let Andre Johnson, Brees or Moss stay on the table late in the first round that will help you out.
I looked at some ADP results (based on QB getting 4pts) and here are some averages for 12-owner leagues in the first four rounds...
RBs Taken - 8
WRs Taken - 2
QBs Taken- 2
1st round Analysis: Someone is itching for Andre, Moss, Brees and possibly Rodgers. Let them! Snatch your franchise RB and don't think twice about it.
Second round........... Total after 2 rounds
RBs Taken - 4........... RBs Taken - 12
WRs Taken - 7........... WRs Taken - 9
QBs Taken- 1.............. QBs Taken - 3
2nd round analysis: WRs start flying off the board. Either start
that WR run by taking Reggie Wayne early in the round...or stay clear and pick up one of the solid RB2 options who may have fallen to the 2nd like Ryan Matthews or DeAngelo Williams.
Third round................. Total after 3 rounds
RBs Taken - 5.............. RBs Taken - 17
WRs Taken - 5............. WRs Taken - 14
QBs Taken- 2............... QBs Taken - 5
3rd round analysis: Things start to spread out while owners try and balance their rosters. The top 5 stud QBs are off the table, so if you didnt' get one by now, consider holding off a few rounds while you stock up on RB/WR. Cutler, Kolb, Favre and Flacco could be available in the 5th - 7th rounds.
Fouth round Total after 4 rounds
RBs Taken - 4................. RBs Taken - 21
WRs Taken - 4............... WRs Taken - 18
QBs Taken- 2.................. QBs Taken - 7
TEs Taken - 2................. TEs Taken - 2
4th round analysis - i'm surprised at how owners are downgrading RBs this year. After 4 rounds and at least 3 owners haven't filled their RB2 spot yet. Clark and Gates are starting to get looks in this round...but the big TE run will occur in the 5th when Whitten, Vernon, Finley (and possibly Gonzo and/or Celek) will be drafted.
OK...so after looking at the above, I'm not 100% sure my RB/RB philosophy is the best for this year - or even attainable. I guess it depends on your draft position and how the rest of your league drafts.
Also - Bye weeks are more meaningful in 12-owners leagues. Since roster talent is more spread out, you don't want too many starters to share the same bye. If I'm 50/50 on two players, their bye week will be a big factor in who I choose.