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2008 Presidential Election State by State Poll Thread |
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02-17-2008, 03:41 PM
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Great Spirit
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Shippensburg PA
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2008 Presidential Election State by State Poll Thread
Well, we did it for the 2004 elections, we we will do it here as well, even though the Dems still have a primary. We will track polls here using various GOP, DEM and independent polling sources. (Updated 5/26/08)
ALABAMA: EV: 9 McCain 55 Obama 36 [4/16] (Safe GOP)
ALASKA: EV: 3 McCain 50 Obama 41 [5/14] (Safe GOP)
ARIZONA: EV: 10 McCain 50 Obama 39 [5/14] (Safe GOP)
ARKANSAS: EV: 6 McCain 57 Obama 33 [5/14] (Safe GOP)
CALIFORNIA: EV: 55 Obama 49 McCain 39 [5/24] (Safe DEM)
COLORADO: EV: 9 Obama 48 McCain 42 [5/20] (LEANS DEM)
CONNECTICUT: EV: 7 Obama 53 McCain 38 [3/19] Safe DEM
DELAWARE: EV: 3 Obama 52 McCain 41 [2/28] Safe DEM
FLORIDA: EV: 27 McCain 45 Obama 41 (5/20) TOSS UP
GEORGIA: EV: 15 McCain 54 Obama 40 (5/15) Safe GOP
HAWAII: EV: 4 Obama 61 McCain 31 [2/28] (Safe DEM)
IDAHO: EV: 4 McCain 52 Obama 39 [2/28] (Safe GOP)
ILLINOIS: EV: 21 Obama 60 McCain 31 [2/26] (Safe DEM)
INDIANA: EV: 11 Obama 48 McCain 47, [4/30] TOSS UP
IOWA: EV: 7 Obama 47 McCain 39, [5/26] Safe DEM
KANSAS: EV: 6 McCain 49 Obama 39 (5/29) Safe GOP
KENTUCKY: EV: 8 McCain 57 Obama 32, [5/25] (Safe GOP)
LOUISIANA: EV: 9 McCain 51 Obama 35 (4/9) Safe GOP
MAINE: EV: 4 Obama 51 McCain 38 (5/14) Safe DEM
MARYLAND: EV: 10 Obama 51 McCain 37 (3/1) Safe DEM
MASSACHUSETTS: EV: 12 Obama 51 McCain 39, [4/23] Safe DEM
MICHIGAN: EV: 17 McCain 44 Oabma 40, [5/29] TOSS UP
MINNESOTA: EV: 10 Obama 53 McCain 38 [ 5/24] Safe DEM
MISSISSIPPI: EV: 6 McCain 50 Obama 44 [ 5/29] Safe GOP
MISSOURI: EV: 10 McCain 48 Obama 45 [5/18] TOSS UP
MONTANA: EV: 3 McCain 47 Obama 39 [5/24] Safe GOP
NEBRASKA: EV: 5 McCain 50 Obama 39 [ 5/24] Safe GOP
NEVADA: EV: 5 McCain 46 Obama 40 [ 5/20] LEANS GOP
NEW HAMPSHIRE: EV: 4 Obama 48 McCain 43 [4/20] LEANS DEM
NEW JERSEY: EV: 15 Obama 56 McCain 32 [4/23] Safe DEM
NEW MEXICO: EV: 5 McCain 44 Obama 44 [4/17] TOSS UP
NEW YORK EV: 31 Obama 52 McCain 33 [5/30] Safe DEM
NORTH CAROLINA EV: 15 McCain 44 Obama 39 [5/16] LEANS GOP
NORTH DAKOTA EV: 3 McCain 44 Obama 38 [4/3] LEANS GOP
OHIO: EV: 20 Obama 49 McCain 40 [5/22] LEANS DEM
OKLAHOMA: EV: 7 McCain 62 Obama 21 [4/10] Safe GOP
OREGON: EV: 7 Obama 58 McCain 39 [5/20] Safe DEM
PENNSYLVANIA: EV: 21 Obama 48 McCain 40 [Rasm, 5/10] LEANS DEM
RHODE ISLAND: EV: 4 Obama 53 McCain 38 [2/22] Safe DEM
SOUTH CAROLINA: EV: 8 McCain: 48 Obama: 45 [2/28] LEANS GOP
SOUTH DAKOTA EV: 3 McCain: 51 Obama: 34 [4/3] Safe GOP
TENNESSEE: EV: 11 McCain: 58 Obama: 31 [4/30] Safe GOP
TEXAS: EV: 34 McCain: 48 Obama: 43 [5/7] LEANS GOP
UTAH: EV: 5 McCain: 50 Obama: 39 [2/26] Safe GOP
VIRGINIA: EV: 13 Obama 47 McCain 42 [5/20] LEANS DEM
VERMONT: EV: 3 Obama 63 McCain 29 [2/28] Safe DEM
WASHINGTON: EV: 11 Obama 51 McCain 40 [5/17] Safe DEM
WEST VIRGINIA: EV: 5 McCain 53 Obama 35 [2/28] Safe GOP
WISCONSIN: EV: 10 Obama 47% McCain 43% [5/5] TOSS UP
WYOMING: EV: 3 McCain 53 Obama 40 [5/30] Safe GOP
Where are we?
Safe GOP: 118
Leans GOP: 65 (Nevada, North Carolina, North Dakota, South Carolina, and Texas)
TOTAL GOP 183
Safe DEM: 204
Leans DEM: 67 ( Colorado, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Virginia)
TOTAL DEM: 271
TOSS UP: 80 (Florida, Indiana, Michigan, Missouri, New Mexico, Wisconsin)
Last edited by PennSkinsFan : 05-30-2008 at 01:51 PM.
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02-19-2008, 09:39 PM
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Great Spirit
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Shippensburg PA
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Updated with Virginia, Wisconsin, and Iowa
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05-27-2008, 03:09 PM
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Great Spirit
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Shippensburg PA
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Updated 5/26 based on the most recent polls.
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05-28-2008, 01:49 AM
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Warrior
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: DC
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I was thinking that a map to go along with this would be nice, and I was bored, so I made one. This is based on data posted here as of 5/27

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05-28-2008, 12:44 PM
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Great Spirit
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Shippensburg PA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by swheeler
I was thinking that a map to go along with this would be nice, and I was bored, so I made one. This is based on data posted here as of 5/27

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Thanks my man. How about you be put in charge of that everytime I post an update? Sound cool?
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05-28-2008, 01:06 PM
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Great Spirit
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Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Maryland suburbs of Washington, D.C.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by swheeler
I was thinking that a map to go along with this would be nice, and I was bored, so I made one. This is based on data posted here as of 5/27
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Fantastic work. Any time you have a few moments to knock one of those up for us, we'd be grateful.
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05-28-2008, 01:28 PM
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hR Staff Writer
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Spence
Fantastic work. Any time you have a few moments to knock one of those up for us, we'd be grateful.
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I found Waldo!
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05-28-2008, 01:47 PM
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Moderator
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I think Calling Florida a Toss-up is a dream. This State seems to be McCain's to lose...
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05-28-2008, 02:05 PM
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hR Staff Writer
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Keino
I think Calling Florida a Toss-up is a dream. This State seems to be McCain's to lose...
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Espescially if he selects the Florida Governor as I think he might. I am more then a little worried about MI though...and I have been for awhile now. I am hoping they come home but it is not looking likely
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05-28-2008, 02:10 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CNYSkinFan
Espescially if he selects the Florida Governor as I think he might. I am more then a little worried about MI though...and I have been for awhile now. I am hoping they come home but it is not looking likely
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If he selects Crist (who is a pretty decent fellow actually), then I think that the Religious Right may sit the election out, especially with McCain now distancing himself from Evangelicals like Hagee and Parsley.
But this state is very much Pro-McCain. He carried FL in the GOP primary by a significant margin.
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05-28-2008, 02:12 PM
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Shaman
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Join Date: Mar 2005
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Thanks for the updates and visuals fellas.
Virginia is leaning Dem a lot sooner than I thought possible. This transportation debacle we're having might be fueling that to a degree.
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05-28-2008, 02:17 PM
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hR Staff Writer
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Keino
If he selects Crist (who is a pretty decent fellow actually), then I think that the Religious Right may sit the election out, especially with McCain now distancing himself from Evangelicals like Hagee and Parsley.
But this state is very much Pro-McCain. He carried FL in the GOP primary by a significant margin.
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Crist probably isn't getting the nod, same problem as Condi.
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05-28-2008, 02:22 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by akhhorus
Crist probably isn't getting the nod, same problem as Condi.
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Which would be?????
BTW - I kind of like Crist as Governor.
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05-28-2008, 02:25 PM
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hR Staff Writer
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Keino
Which would be?????
BTW - I kind of like Crist as Governor.
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alternate lifestyle.....I can prove it with one, 95% sure of the other.
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05-28-2008, 02:29 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by akhhorus
alternate lifestyle.....I can prove it with one, 95% sure of the other.
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I've heard that about Crist (In fact a Gay dude told me that). Which one can you actually prove it on? Should this go to PM?
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