2008 Presidential Election State by State Poll Thread

PennSkinsFan · #1 02-17-2008, 03:41 PM

Well, we did it for the 2004 elections, we we will do it here as well, even though the Dems still have a primary. We will track polls here using various GOP, DEM and independent polling sources. (Updated 5/26/08)

ALABAMA: EV: 9 McCain 55 Obama 36 [4/16] (Safe GOP)

ALASKA: EV: 3 McCain 50 Obama 41 [5/14] (Safe GOP)

ARIZONA: EV: 10 McCain 50 Obama 39 [5/14] (Safe GOP)

ARKANSAS: EV: 6 McCain 57 Obama 33 [5/14] (Safe GOP)

CALIFORNIA: EV: 55 Obama 49 McCain 39 [5/24] (Safe DEM)

COLORADO: EV: 9 Obama 48 McCain 42 [5/20] (LEANS DEM)

CONNECTICUT: EV: 7 Obama 53 McCain 38 [3/19] Safe DEM

DELAWARE: EV: 3 Obama 52 McCain 41 [2/28] Safe DEM

FLORIDA: EV: 27 McCain 45 Obama 41 (5/20) TOSS UP

GEORGIA: EV: 15 McCain 54 Obama 40 (5/15) Safe GOP

HAWAII: EV: 4 Obama 61 McCain 31 [2/28] (Safe DEM)

IDAHO: EV: 4 McCain 52 Obama 39 [2/28] (Safe GOP)

ILLINOIS: EV: 21 Obama 60 McCain 31 [2/26] (Safe DEM)

INDIANA: EV: 11 Obama 48 McCain 47, [4/30] TOSS UP

IOWA: EV: 7 Obama 47 McCain 39, [5/26] Safe DEM

KANSAS: EV: 6 McCain 49 Obama 39 (5/29) Safe GOP

KENTUCKY: EV: 8 McCain 57 Obama 32, [5/25] (Safe GOP)

LOUISIANA: EV: 9 McCain 51 Obama 35 (4/9) Safe GOP

MAINE: EV: 4 Obama 51 McCain 38 (5/14) Safe DEM

MARYLAND: EV: 10 Obama 51 McCain 37 (3/1) Safe DEM

MASSACHUSETTS: EV: 12 Obama 51 McCain 39, [4/23] Safe DEM

MICHIGAN: EV: 17 McCain 44 Oabma 40, [5/29] TOSS UP

MINNESOTA: EV: 10 Obama 53 McCain 38 [ 5/24] Safe DEM

MISSISSIPPI: EV: 6 McCain 50 Obama 44 [ 5/29] Safe GOP

MISSOURI: EV: 10 McCain 48 Obama 45 [5/18] TOSS UP

MONTANA: EV: 3 McCain 47 Obama 39 [5/24] Safe GOP

NEBRASKA: EV: 5 McCain 50 Obama 39 [ 5/24] Safe GOP

NEVADA: EV: 5 McCain 46 Obama 40 [ 5/20] LEANS GOP

NEW HAMPSHIRE: EV: 4 Obama 48 McCain 43 [4/20] LEANS DEM

NEW JERSEY: EV: 15 Obama 56 McCain 32 [4/23] Safe DEM

NEW MEXICO: EV: 5 McCain 44 Obama 44 [4/17] TOSS UP

NEW YORK EV: 31 Obama 52 McCain 33 [5/30] Safe DEM

NORTH CAROLINA EV: 15 McCain 44 Obama 39 [5/16] LEANS GOP

NORTH DAKOTA EV: 3 McCain 44 Obama 38 [4/3] LEANS GOP

OHIO: EV: 20 Obama 49 McCain 40 [5/22] LEANS DEM

OKLAHOMA: EV: 7 McCain 62 Obama 21 [4/10] Safe GOP

OREGON: EV: 7 Obama 58 McCain 39 [5/20] Safe DEM

PENNSYLVANIA: EV: 21 Obama 48 McCain 40 [Rasm, 5/10] LEANS DEM

RHODE ISLAND: EV: 4 Obama 53 McCain 38 [2/22] Safe DEM

SOUTH CAROLINA: EV: 8 McCain: 48 Obama: 45 [2/28] LEANS GOP

SOUTH DAKOTA EV: 3 McCain: 51 Obama: 34 [4/3] Safe GOP

TENNESSEE: EV: 11 McCain: 58 Obama: 31 [4/30] Safe GOP

TEXAS: EV: 34 McCain: 48 Obama: 43 [5/7] LEANS GOP

UTAH: EV: 5 McCain: 50 Obama: 39 [2/26] Safe GOP

VIRGINIA: EV: 13 Obama 47 McCain 42 [5/20] LEANS DEM

VERMONT: EV: 3 Obama 63 McCain 29 [2/28] Safe DEM

WASHINGTON: EV: 11 Obama 51 McCain 40 [5/17] Safe DEM

WEST VIRGINIA: EV: 5 McCain 53 Obama 35 [2/28] Safe GOP

WISCONSIN: EV: 10 Obama 47% McCain 43% [5/5] TOSS UP

WYOMING: EV: 3 McCain 53 Obama 40 [5/30] Safe GOP

Where are we?

Safe GOP: 118
Leans GOP: 65 (Nevada, North Carolina, North Dakota, South Carolina, and Texas)
TOTAL GOP 183

Safe DEM: 204
Leans DEM: 67 ( Colorado, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Virginia)
TOTAL DEM: 271

TOSS UP: 80 (Florida, Indiana, Michigan, Missouri, New Mexico, Wisconsin)

PennSkinsFan · #2 02-19-2008, 09:39 PM

Updated with Virginia, Wisconsin, and Iowa

PennSkinsFan · #3 05-27-2008, 03:09 PM

Updated 5/26 based on the most recent polls.

swheeler · #4 05-28-2008, 01:49 AM

I was thinking that a map to go along with this would be nice, and I was bored, so I made one. This is based on data posted here as of 5/27

PennSkinsFan · #5 05-28-2008, 12:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by swheeler

I was thinking that a map to go along with this would be nice, and I was bored, so I made one. This is based on data posted here as of 5/27

Thanks my man. How about you be put in charge of that everytime I post an update? Sound cool?

Spence · #6 05-28-2008, 01:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by swheeler

I was thinking that a map to go along with this would be nice, and I was bored, so I made one. This is based on data posted here as of 5/27

Fantastic work. Any time you have a few moments to knock one of those up for us, we'd be grateful.

akhhorus · #7 05-28-2008, 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Spence

Fantastic work. Any time you have a few moments to knock one of those up for us, we'd be grateful.

I found Waldo!

Keino · #8 05-28-2008, 01:47 PM

I think Calling Florida a Toss-up is a dream. This State seems to be McCain's to lose...

CNYSkinFan · #9 05-28-2008, 02:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Keino

I think Calling Florida a Toss-up is a dream. This State seems to be McCain's to lose...

Espescially if he selects the Florida Governor as I think he might. I am more then a little worried about MI though...and I have been for awhile now. I am hoping they come home but it is not looking likely

Keino · #10 05-28-2008, 02:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CNYSkinFan

Espescially if he selects the Florida Governor as I think he might. I am more then a little worried about MI though...and I have been for awhile now. I am hoping they come home but it is not looking likely

If he selects Crist (who is a pretty decent fellow actually), then I think that the Religious Right may sit the election out, especially with McCain now distancing himself from Evangelicals like Hagee and Parsley.

But this state is very much Pro-McCain. He carried FL in the GOP primary by a significant margin.

Ibleedburgundy · #11 05-28-2008, 02:12 PM

Thanks for the updates and visuals fellas.

Virginia is leaning Dem a lot sooner than I thought possible. This transportation debacle we're having might be fueling that to a degree.

akhhorus · #12 05-28-2008, 02:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Keino

If he selects Crist (who is a pretty decent fellow actually), then I think that the Religious Right may sit the election out, especially with McCain now distancing himself from Evangelicals like Hagee and Parsley.

But this state is very much Pro-McCain. He carried FL in the GOP primary by a significant margin.

Crist probably isn't getting the nod, same problem as Condi.